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Update from Charlie Oppenheim

In his monthly report on the current trends and future projections of the visa bulletin, Charles ("Charlie") Oppenheim, Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, U.S. Department of State, to provide additional insight going forward.

Family Based Projections:

Most family-based preference petitions are processed through the National Visa Center and U.S. consulates abroad, which accept applications based on the "filing date" rather than the final action date. As a result, Oppenheim’s excellent visibility into the demand in these categories enables a slow and steady progression of the final action dates with much less volatility than employment-based categories. Final action dates will advance modestly in May for all family-based preference categories, except FB-1 China, India and Worldwide, which maintained their dates from April. There won’t be any retrogression in any of the family-based preference category in May.

Employment Based Projections:

It is likely that most employment-based final action dates will hold through June, and some through July. Given that it takes roughly five months for I-485s to be processed, it is unlikely that most May I-485 filings will be processed to completion before the end of the fiscal year. For the month of May, only the following were noteworthy advancements:

  • EB-2 China will move forward one month to September 1, 2014;
  • EB-3 India will advance three months to May 1, 2008;
  • EB-3 Other Workers China and India will advance one and three months respectively, to May 1, 2007 and May 1, 2008; and
  • EB-4 Mexico will advance roughly five weeks to October 22, 2016.

As Oppenheim predicted, EB-5 Vietnam will now assume a final action date of July 22, 2014 in May, tracking to EB-5 China.

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